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2024-12-13 10:25:33

The yield of 10-year treasury bonds hit a new low, and the industry has been optimistic about the bond market for a long time. Recently, the bond market has continued to stage a strong market, with the yield of 10-year and 30-year treasury bonds hitting record lows and the futures price of treasury bonds hitting record highs. As the tone of monetary policy shifts from "steady" to "moderately loose", the market expects to lower the RRR and cut interest rates. Many insiders believe that the strong bond market pattern is expected to continue until 2025. Under the background of further opening of interest rate downside, long-term bonds have become the focus of investors' layout. (SSE)According to statistics, since November, a total of 138 A-share listed companies have announced plans to increase their holdings, of which 88 have disclosed specific plans to increase their holdings. Judging from the upper limit of the amount to be increased, if all listed companies increase their holdings, the total increase will exceed 25.3 billion yuan. In terms of industries, the number of listed companies that have recently released plans to increase their holdings is mainly concentrated in three major industries: transportation, machinery and equipment, and electronics, with 10 companies. Statistics show that 48 listed companies intend to increase their holdings by more than 100 million yuan, among which 8 listed companies have announced that their holdings will reach 1 billion yuan or more, including Dongfang Shenghong, China Jushi, Lujiazui and Sailun Tire. Among the listed companies that have issued plans to increase their holdings since November, 29 companies indicated that the sources of funds include special loan funds. (Securities Times)The pharmacy chain WBA closed up 18%, the biggest one-day increase since at least 1980, and the company negotiated to sell it to a private equity firm.


Today's key financial news reminds us (the following are all Beijing time) that ① the total amount of M2 money supply, new RMB loans and financing in China in November may be released; ② At 15: 00, Andrew Hauser, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, gave a speech at ABE Annual Banquet; ③ Time to be determined: OPEC publishes monthly crude oil market report; 4 21: 30 US CPI; in November; ⑤ At 22: 45, the Bank of Canada issued a policy interest rate; ⑥ At 23: 30, us energy information administration (EIA) released the weekly report of government crude oil inventory; 7. The next day at 03:00, the U.S. government budget for November; (8) Adobe released a performance report after the US stock market closed; 9 At 05:30 the next day, the Brazilian central bank announced the Selic policy interest rate; Attending the speech of Assistant Chairman Jones of Reserve Bank of Australia at 06:15 the next day.EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.US Treasury Secretary Yellen: I also expressed my concern about fiscal responsibility. We need to cut the deficit. I hope that Congress can try to pay for any extension of Trump's personal tax cuts passed in 2017.


The yield of 2/10-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 2 basis points. In late new york on Tuesday (December 10th), the yield of US 10-year benchmark treasury bonds rose by 2.32 basis points to 4.2244%, and the intraday trading was in the range of 4.1818%-4.2438%. The yield of two-year US bonds rose by 2.48 basis points to 4.1430%, and intraday trading ranged from 4.1099% to 4.1680%. The yield spread of three-month Treasury bonds /10-year US bonds rose by 3.624 basis points to -16.951 basis points. The yield spread of US bonds in 2002/10 was roughly flat, at +7.546 basis points. The yield of US 10-year inflation-protected treasury bonds (TIPS) fell by 0.90 basis points to 1.9233%.The U.S. military said that two U.S. navy destroyers successfully intercepted weapons fired by Houthi forces during their voyage in the Gulf of Aden.China promised to continue to contribute to the United Nations Central Emergency Response Fund. On December 10th, local time, Geng Shuang, Deputy Permanent Representative of China to the United Nations, attended the 2025 High-level Pledging Conference of the United Nations Central Emergency Response Fund, saying that at present, geopolitical conflicts are constant, natural disasters are frequent, the global humanitarian situation has deteriorated significantly, and humanitarian needs are increasing. The important role of the Central Emergency Response Fund in providing rescue, saving lives and alleviating suffering has further increased. Geng Shuang said that China has always supported the United Nations to play a coordinating role in international humanitarian relief and the Central Emergency Response Fund to carry out its work. Since 2007, voluntary contributions have been made to the Fund every year. In 2024, donations have been completed, and contributions will continue to be made to the Fund in 2025. Geng Shuang said that China has provided long-term humanitarian assistance to countries in need through bilateral channels and in various forms, and will continue to uphold the concept of a community of human destiny, make joint efforts with the international community, and support countries and people in need to cope with the humanitarian crisis and get out of the humanitarian predicament. (CCTV)

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